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Frost dates for ZIP 16427 (Mill Village, PA)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Union City Filtration Plant, PA (6 miles away).

This week in your yard

As of Oct 18, 2026, from your frost dates, zone and soil temperature. Lawn timing · Vegetables · Pruning · Plants

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

No soil station with a fresh reading within 62 miles.

4-inch depth

No soil station with a fresh reading within 62 miles.

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

The latest National Weather Service 7-day forecast and any Frost Advisory or Freeze Warning for 16427 load here. You can also open the NWS forecast for this ZIP.

Pre-emergent

No soil reading near this ZIP. Typical extension timing for your region: spring mid-April to early May.

Fertilizer window

Lawn region: North (cool-season). Timing only; always follow the product label.

  • Kentucky bluegrass (cool-season): Early fall: Around Labor Day (late August–September); Late fall: Late October–November, before the ground freezes; Late spring: Optional around Memorial Day. Avoid: Early-spring and midsummer feeding (pushes top growth, favors crabgrass).

Plant now

No vegetable planting windows are open this week.

Prune now

No frost-timed pruning windows are open this week.

Spring-flowering shrubs are pruned right after their flowers fade, not by date. See the pruning guide.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Apr 23
50% (the "average" last frost)May 7
10% (cautious: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)May 24

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Sep 29
50% (the "average" first frost)Oct 10
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Oct 24

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)May 20Sep 30
32°F (freeze)May 7Oct 10
28°F (hard freeze)Apr 24Oct 23

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

Vegetable planting calendar for 16427

Dates count from your average last spring frost (May 7) and first fall frost (Oct 10). Half of years have a frost after the spring date, so give tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, squash) some slack.

Start seeds indoorsSpring plantingFall plantingLast frostFirst frostJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTomatoPepperEggplantTomatilloLettuceSpinachKaleCollardsBroccoliCabbageCauliflowerBrussels sproutsKohlrabiBok choy / Asian greensArugulaMustard greensSwiss chardBeetCarrotRadishTurnipParsnipPeaOnionGreen onion / scallionLeekGarlicShallotPotatoSweet potatoSweet cornBean, bushBean, poleLima beanSouthern peaCucumberSummer squash / zucchiniWinter squashPumpkinWatermelonCantaloupe / muskmelonOkraCeleryBasilCilantroParsleyDillSunflowerAsparagusRhubarbStrawberry
CropStart indoorsSpring plantingFall planting
TomatoMar 12–26May 14–28 (transplant)–
Pepper (sweet and hot)Feb 26–Mar 12May 21–Jun 4 (transplant)–
EggplantFeb 26–Mar 12May 21–Jun 4 (transplant)–
TomatilloMar 12–26May 14–28 (transplant)–
LettuceMar 12–26Apr 16–May 7 (transplant)
Apr 9–May 21 (sow outdoors)
Aug 15–Sep 5 (transplant)
Aug 1–29 (sowing)
Spinach–Mar 26–Apr 16 (sow outdoors)Aug 15–Sep 5 (sowing)
KaleMar 12–26Apr 9–23 (transplant)
Apr 9–23 (sow outdoors)
Jul 18–Aug 15 (transplant)
Jul 4–Aug 1 (sowing)
CollardsMar 12–26Apr 9–May 7 (transplant)
Apr 9–May 7 (sow outdoors)
Jul 18–Aug 15 (transplant)
Jul 4–Aug 1 (sowing)
BroccoliFeb 26–Mar 12Apr 9–23 (transplant)Jul 4–Aug 1 (transplant)
CabbageFeb 26–Mar 12Apr 9–23 (transplant)Jul 4–Aug 1 (transplant)
CauliflowerFeb 26–Mar 12Apr 23–May 7 (transplant)Jul 4–Aug 1 (transplant)
Brussels sproutsFeb 12–26Apr 9–23 (transplant)Jun 20–Jul 11 (transplant)
KohlrabiMar 12–26Apr 9–23 (transplant)
Apr 9–23 (sow outdoors)
Aug 1–15 (sowing)
Bok choy / Asian greens–Apr 9–23 (sow outdoors)Aug 15–29 (sowing)
Arugula–Apr 9–May 7 (sow outdoors)Aug 15–Sep 12 (sowing)
Mustard greens–Apr 9–30 (sow outdoors)Aug 15–29 (sowing)
Swiss chardMar 26–Apr 9Apr 23–May 14 (transplant)
Apr 23–May 21 (sow outdoors)
Aug 1–15 (sowing)
Beet–Apr 9–May 7 (sow outdoors)Aug 1–15 (sowing)
Carrot–Apr 16–May 14 (sow outdoors)Jul 18–Aug 1 (sowing)
Radish–Apr 2–May 14 (sow outdoors)Aug 29–Sep 12 (sowing)
Turnip–Apr 9–30 (sow outdoors)Aug 1–15 (sowing)
Parsnip–Apr 16–May 7 (sow outdoors)–
Pea (garden, snap, snow)–Mar 12–Apr 9 (sow outdoors)Jul 18–Aug 1 (sowing)
Onion (bulbing)Feb 12–26Mar 26–Apr 9 (transplant)–
Green onion / scallion–Mar 26–Apr 23 (sow outdoors)Aug 1–15 (sowing)
LeekFeb 12–26Apr 9–23 (transplant)–
Garlic––Aug 29–Sep 26 (sowing)
Shallot–Mar 26–Apr 9 (transplant)Aug 29–Sep 26 (sowing)
Potato–Apr 9–23 (transplant)Jun 20–Jul 4 (transplant)
Sweet potato–May 28–Jun 11 (transplant)–
Sweet corn–May 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
Bean, bush (snap)–May 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
Bean, pole–May 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
Lima bean–May 21–Jun 4 (sow outdoors)–
Southern pea (cowpea, black-eyed pea)–May 28–Jun 18 (sow outdoors)–
CucumberApr 9–16May 14–28 (transplant)
May 14–28 (sow outdoors)
–
Summer squash / zucchiniApr 9–16May 14–28 (transplant)
May 14–28 (sow outdoors)
–
Winter squashApr 9–16May 14–28 (transplant)
May 14–28 (sow outdoors)
–
Pumpkin–May 14–28 (sow outdoors)–
WatermelonApr 9–16May 21–Jun 4 (transplant)
May 21–Jun 4 (sow outdoors)
–
Cantaloupe / muskmelonApr 9–16May 21–Jun 4 (transplant)
May 21–Jun 4 (sow outdoors)
–
OkraMar 26–Apr 9May 21–Jun 4 (transplant)
May 21–Jun 4 (sow outdoors)
–
CeleryFeb 12–26May 14–21 (transplant)–
BasilMar 26–Apr 9May 14–28 (transplant)
May 14–28 (sow outdoors)
–
Cilantro–Apr 23–May 21 (sow outdoors)Aug 15–29 (sowing)
ParsleyFeb 26–Mar 12Apr 23–May 7 (transplant)
Apr 16–May 7 (sow outdoors)
–
Dill–May 7–21 (sow outdoors)Aug 15–29 (sowing)
Sunflower–May 7–21 (sow outdoors)–
Asparagus (crowns)–Apr 9–23 (transplant)–
Rhubarb (crowns)–Apr 9–23 (transplant)–
Strawberry (plants)–Apr 9–23 (transplant)Aug 1–29 (transplant)

Typical ranges from university extension planting calendars, adjusted to your frost dates. Probabilities, not guarantees. Fall windows that would overlap spring planting are left out, as are fall crops of frost-tender plants where the frost-free season is under 210 days.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Union City Filtration Plant, PA (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00369042), elevation 1,400 ft, 6.0 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: E (estimated from nearby stations).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Erie Intl AP, PA18 miApr 26Nov 4
Port Meadville AP, PA21 miApr 30Oct 23
Titusville Wtr Wks, PA22 miMay 12Oct 10

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 17 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Frost questions for 16427

When is the last frost in 16427?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 16427 is May 7. For a more cautious planting date, use May 24, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 16427?

The average first fall freeze is October 10. In 1 year in 10 it comes by September 29.

What hardiness zone is 16427?

ZIP 16427 is in USDA zone 6a (-10 to -5°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

What is the soil temperature in 16427 right now?

This page shows the latest 2-inch and 4-inch soil temperature from the nearest public soil station (USDA SCAN, NOAA USCRN or TexMesonet), or a labeled estimate when no station is close, against the 50–55°F spring pre-emergent band.

Nearby ZIP codes

16441 Waterford 16403 Cambridge Springs 16438 Union City 16444 Edinboro 16412 Edinboro 16440 Venango 16426 McKean 16433 Saegertown

Other ZIP codes in Erie County

16401 16407 16410 16411 16412 16415 16417 16421 16423 16426 16428 16430 16438 16441 16442 16443 16444 16475 16501 16502 16503 16504 16505 16506 All Erie County frost dates · Pennsylvania frost dates