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Frost dates for ZIP 78003 (Lake Medina Shores, TX)

Average last spring and first fall frost dates with 10%, 50% and 90% odds, from NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals for the nearest weather station, Medina 1NE, TX (11 miles away).

This week in your yard

As of Oct 18, 2026, from your frost dates, zone and soil temperature. Lawn timing · Vegetables · Pruning · Plants

Soil temperature now

2-inch depth

70°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 65°F, as of Oct 18, 1:00 AM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Phyllis Thomas Bandera (16 mi), Love Creek Preserve (20 mi), dA Ranch (33 mi).

4-inch depth

72°F 55°F or warmer
24-hour average · latest 70°F, as of Oct 18, 1:00 AM CDT

30°50°55°70°90°

Estimate Not a measurement at this ZIP: distance-weighted average of Phyllis Thomas Bandera (16 mi), Love Creek Preserve (20 mi), dA Ranch (33 mi).

Fall: Texas A&M AgriLife times fall pre-emergent (for winter weeds such as annual bluegrass) to soil cooling to about 70°F for several days. The 50–55°F band is the spring trigger. Always read and follow the product label.

7-day forecast and frost risk

The latest National Weather Service 7-day forecast and any Frost Advisory or Freeze Warning for 78003 load here. You can also open the NWS forecast for this ZIP.

Pre-emergent

Soil is 72°F at 4 inches (estimated soil temperature, not a station reading). Fall pre-emergent (annual bluegrass, winter weeds): window open as soil cools through the 70s and 60s.

Fertilizer window

Lawn region: South Central plains. Timing only; always follow the product label.

  • Bermudagrass (warm-season): Spring: Several weeks after the lawn is fully green (April–May) (about May 1 here, using green-up about 3–4 weeks after your average last frost); Summer: Every 4–6 weeks through mid-August (heaviest feeder of the group); Late: Light, low-nitrogen/high-potassium feeding about 4 weeks before first frost, or skip. Avoid: Heavy late-fall nitrogen (linked to spring dead spot).
  • Tall fescue (cool-season): Early fall: September (main feeding); Late fall: November, while still green; Late winter: Optional light feeding February–March. Avoid: Feeding after mid-spring and through summer in the transition zone (stress and brown patch).

Plant now

  • Arugula: fall sowing Sep 20–Oct 18
  • Radish: fall sowing Oct 4–18
  • Garlic: fall sowing Oct 4–Nov 1
  • Shallot: fall sowing Oct 4–Nov 1

Prune now

No frost-timed pruning windows are open this week.

Your average first frost is Nov 15: skip heavy pruning in the 6–8 weeks before it, because new growth may not harden off in time.

Spring-flowering shrubs are pruned right after their flowers fade, not by date. See the pruning guide.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLight blue: spring freeze risk (90% to 10%). Tan: fall freeze risk (10% to 90%). Dark lines: 50% dates.

Last spring frost odds

Chance of a 32°F freeze after this dateDate
90% (early: most years still freeze after this)Feb 23
50% (the "average" last frost)Mar 16
10% (cautious: only 1 year in 10 freezes later)Apr 6

Most gardeners plant frost-tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, basil) after the 50% date, and closer to the 10% date for less risk.

First fall frost odds

Chance the first 32°F freeze has happened by this dateDate
10% (early: 1 year in 10 freezes this soon)Oct 31
50% (the "average" first frost)Nov 15
90% (late: most years have frozen by now)Dec 3

Light frost, freeze and hard freeze

ThresholdLast spring (50%)First fall (50%)
36°F (light frost possible on clear, calm nights)Apr 2Nov 5
32°F (freeze)Mar 16Nov 15
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 2Nov 29

n/a means NOAA did not publish a date at that threshold for this station (usually because it rarely gets that cold).

Vegetable planting calendar for 78003

Dates count from your average last spring frost (Mar 16) and first fall frost (Nov 15). Half of years have a frost after the spring date, so give tender crops (tomatoes, peppers, squash) some slack.

Start seeds indoorsSpring plantingFall plantingLast frostFirst frostJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTomatoPepperEggplantTomatilloLettuceSpinachKaleCollardsBroccoliCabbageCauliflowerBrussels sproutsKohlrabiBok choy / Asian greensArugulaMustard greensSwiss chardBeetCarrotRadishTurnipParsnipPeaOnionGreen onion / scallionLeekGarlicShallotPotatoSweet potatoSweet cornBean, bushBean, poleLima beanSouthern peaCucumberSummer squash / zucchiniWinter squashPumpkinWatermelonCantaloupe / muskmelonOkraCeleryBasilCilantroParsleyDillSunflowerAsparagusRhubarbStrawberry
CropStart indoorsSpring plantingFall planting
TomatoJan 19–Feb 2Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)Jul 19–Aug 16 (transplant)
Pepper (sweet and hot)Jan 5–19Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)Jul 26–Aug 16 (transplant)
EggplantJan 5–19Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)Jul 26–Aug 16 (transplant)
TomatilloJan 19–Feb 2Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)–
LettuceJan 19–Feb 2Feb 23–Mar 16 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 30 (sow outdoors)
Sep 20–Oct 11 (transplant)
Sep 6–Oct 4 (sowing)
Spinach–Feb 2–23 (sow outdoors)Sep 20–Oct 11 (sowing)
KaleJan 19–Feb 2Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)
Aug 23–Sep 20 (transplant)
Aug 9–Sep 6 (sowing)
CollardsJan 19–Feb 2Feb 16–Mar 16 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)
Aug 23–Sep 20 (transplant)
Aug 9–Sep 6 (sowing)
BroccoliJan 5–19Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Aug 9–Sep 6 (transplant)
CabbageJan 5–19Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Aug 9–Sep 6 (transplant)
CauliflowerJan 5–19Mar 2–16 (transplant)Aug 9–Sep 6 (transplant)
Brussels sproutsDec 22–Jan 5Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Jul 26–Aug 16 (transplant)
KohlrabiJan 19–Feb 2Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)
Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)
Sep 6–20 (sowing)
Bok choy / Asian greens–Feb 16–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)Sep 20–Oct 4 (sowing)
Arugula–Feb 16–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)Sep 20–Oct 18 (sowing)
Mustard greens–Feb 16–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)Sep 20–Oct 4 (sowing)
Swiss chardFeb 2–16Mar 2–23 (transplant)
Mar 2–30 (sow outdoors)
Sep 6–20 (sowing)
Beet–Feb 16–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)Sep 6–20 (sowing)
Carrot–Feb 23–Mar 23 (sow outdoors)Aug 23–Sep 6 (sowing)
Radish–Feb 9–Mar 23 (sow outdoors)Oct 4–18 (sowing)
Turnip–Feb 16–Mar 9 (sow outdoors)Sep 6–20 (sowing)
Parsnip–Feb 23–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)–
Pea (garden, snap, snow)–Jan 19–Feb 16 (sow outdoors)Aug 23–Sep 6 (sowing)
Onion (bulbing)Dec 22–Jan 5Feb 2–16 (transplant)–
Green onion / scallion–Feb 2–Mar 2 (sow outdoors)Sep 6–20 (sowing)
LeekDec 22–Jan 5Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)–
Garlic––Oct 4–Nov 1 (sowing)
Shallot–Feb 2–16 (transplant)Oct 4–Nov 1 (sowing)
Potato–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Jul 26–Aug 9 (transplant)
Sweet potato–Apr 6–20 (transplant)–
Sweet corn–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)–
Bean, bush (snap)–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)Aug 23–Sep 6 (sowing)
Bean, pole–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)–
Lima bean–Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)–
Southern pea (cowpea, black-eyed pea)–Apr 6–27 (sow outdoors)–
CucumberFeb 16–23Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
Aug 23–Sep 6 (sowing)
Summer squash / zucchiniFeb 16–23Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
Aug 23–Sep 6 (sowing)
Winter squashFeb 16–23Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
–
Pumpkin–Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)–
WatermelonFeb 16–23Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)
Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)
–
Cantaloupe / muskmelonFeb 16–23Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)
Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)
–
OkraFeb 2–16Mar 30–Apr 13 (transplant)
Mar 30–Apr 13 (sow outdoors)
–
CeleryDec 22–Jan 5Mar 23–30 (transplant)–
BasilFeb 2–16Mar 23–Apr 6 (transplant)
Mar 23–Apr 6 (sow outdoors)
–
Cilantro–Mar 2–30 (sow outdoors)Sep 20–Oct 4 (sowing)
ParsleyJan 5–19Mar 2–16 (transplant)
Feb 23–Mar 16 (sow outdoors)
–
Dill–Mar 16–30 (sow outdoors)Sep 20–Oct 4 (sowing)
Sunflower–Mar 16–30 (sow outdoors)–
Asparagus (crowns)–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)–
Rhubarb (crowns)–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)–
Strawberry (plants)–Feb 16–Mar 2 (transplant)Sep 6–Oct 4 (transplant)

Typical ranges from university extension planting calendars, adjusted to your frost dates. Probabilities, not guarantees. Fall windows that would overlap spring planting are left out, as are fall crops of frost-tender plants where the frost-free season is under 210 days.

Plants that do well here

Texas A&M AgriLife trials name plants that handle Texas conditions: the Texas Superstar® list and the low-care roses from AgriLife trials. Plant frost-tender annuals after March 16 here (the average last frost). More on plants for Texas. Not affiliated with Texas A&M AgriLife.

Where these numbers come from

Station: Medina 1NE, TX (NOAA GHCN-Daily ID USC00415742), elevation 1,712 ft, 11.2 miles from the ZIP's center point. NOAA completeness flag: R (representative, 10+ years).

Nearby stations

StationDistanceLast frost (50%)First frost (50%)
Boerne, TX23 miMar 15Nov 13
Hondo Muni AP, TX24 miMar 6Nov 20
Kerrville 3 NNE, TX25 miMar 27Nov 7

The average last-frost dates of these stations span 21 days, a rough guide to local variation. See data sources & methods.

Frost questions for 78003

When is the last frost in 78003?

The average (50% chance) last spring freeze of 32°F for ZIP 78003 is March 16. For a more cautious planting date, use April 6, when only 1 year in 10 still sees a later freeze.

When is the first frost in 78003?

The average first fall freeze is November 15. In 1 year in 10 it comes by October 31.

What hardiness zone is 78003?

ZIP 78003 is in USDA zone 8b (15 to 20°F average coldest winter night), per the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP listing.

What is the soil temperature in 78003 right now?

This page shows the latest 2-inch and 4-inch soil temperature from the nearest public soil station (USDA SCAN, NOAA USCRN or TexMesonet), or a labeled estimate when no station is close, against the 50–55°F spring pre-emergent band.

Nearby ZIP codes

78063 Lakehills 78883 78029 78010 Center Point 78056 78055 78066 78861 Hondo

Other ZIP codes in Bandera County

78055 78063 78883 78884 78885 All Bandera County frost dates · Texas frost dates